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⚽ FIFA World Cup 2026 Dataset

Comprehensive historical & predictive data for the 2026 FIFA World Cup — covering all 22 editions (1930–2022), 49,000+ international matches, live tournament data with 4× daily refresh, and betting odds from multiple US bookmakers.

Overview & Business Goals

This is a public sandbox dataset for individuals exploring the Delphina analytics product. It covers international men’s football (soccer) with a focus on the FIFA World Cup — both historical (1930–2022) and the live 2026 edition.

Business Goals

  • Support fans asking about World Cup history, team records, and match results
  • Enable 2026 tournament research — groups, predictions, qualifying stats, coaches
  • Provide historical depth for cross-tournament comparisons and all-time records
  • Support match predictions using betting odds, FIFA rankings, ELO ratings, and qualifying form
  • Track live tournament performance via detailed match statistics and editorial recaps

Key Entities


Example Questions You Can Ask

  • Which upcoming matches have the biggest gap between the pre-tournament model’s win probability and current betting market odds?
  • Which teams have seen their outright winner odds move the most since the tournament started — and does their actual match performance justify it?
  • Are there any matches where the bookmaker spread disagrees with what the ELO ratings would predict?
  • Which teams are outperforming their pre-tournament qualification probability — and which are underperforming relative to group difficulty?
  • Compare possession dominance vs actual results: are high-possession teams converting into wins this tournament?
  • Which group has the tightest goal difference spread heading into the final matchday — and what are the tiebreaker scenarios?
  • Show me teams whose shot conversion rate (goals / shots on target) is significantly above or below tournament average.
  • How does the 2026 goals-per-match rate compare to every previous World Cup edition? Is the expanded format producing more or fewer goals?
  • Which teams have historically overperformed their FIFA ranking at World Cups (reached further than seeding would suggest)?
  • Are debut teams in 2026 performing better or worse than debut teams have historically in their first World Cup?
  • Which coaches with prior WC experience are winning at a higher rate this tournament vs their career WC record?
  • Based on current group standings and remaining fixtures, what’s the probability of each third-place team qualifying for the Round of 32?
  • If we simulate the bracket 10,000 times from the current state, which teams have the easiest knockout path to the Final?
  • Which teams’ qualifying campaign (GF/GA/form) was most predictive of their actual 2026 group stage performance?
  • For upcoming knockout matchups, what’s the all-time World Cup head-to-head record between the two teams — and how do their current ELO ratings compare to their historical meetings?
  • Which confederation is outperforming its historical World Cup win rate this tournament?

2026 Tournament Quick Facts


Data Sources & Refresh

Live data (match results, stats, betting odds) refreshes 4 times daily at noon, 4 PM, 8 PM, and midnight PST. All completed match data through yesterday is always available.

What’s in the Dataset

Updated 4× daily as matches are played. Covers all international football, not just World Cup — but easily filtered to WC only.

Tournament Format

Group Stage

48 teams in 12 groups of 4. Each team plays 3 matches (round-robin). 72 total group matches.

Advancement

Top 2 per group (24 teams) + 8 best third-place teams = 32 teams advance to knockouts.

Knockout Rounds

Round of 32 → Round of 16 → Quarter-Finals → Semi-Finals → Third-Place → Final.

Points & Rules

  • Win: 3 points | Draw: 1 point | Loss: 0 points
  • Extra time + penalties in knockout stages only (no golden goal)
  • Last two group matches kick off simultaneously
  • 5 substitutes allowed per team (6 in extra time)

Group Stage Tiebreakers

1

Head-to-Head Record

Points, goal difference, then goals scored — only in matches between the tied teams.
2

Overall Record

Goal difference, then goals scored across all group matches.
3

Conduct Score

Fewer accumulated card deductions (yellow = -1, direct red = -4, etc.).
4

FIFA Ranking

Most recent published FIFA World Ranking as final tiebreaker.

Best Third-Place Ranking

The 8 best third-placed teams (out of 12) are compared across groups using: points → goal difference → goals scored → conduct score → FIFA ranking. No head-to-head since teams are from different groups.

Prediction Methodology

Betting market odds are the most reliable predictor of match outcomes. They aggregate all available information (form, injuries, tactics, weather) and are updated multiple times daily.

Signal Priority

Betting Market Types

Pre-Tournament Model

A static ML model generated win probabilities before the tournament started. Top picks: France (14.2%), followed by Brazil, Argentina, England, Germany, and Spain (5%+each).
Pre-tournament model probabilities become stale once live results are available. Always prefer current betting odds for forward-looking predictions.

Tournament Rules

  • 5 substitutes allowed per team (from 15 named subs)
  • Maximum 3 substitution windows per half (half-time doesn’t count)
  • +1 additional sub in extra time (6th total) with +1 window
  • Concussion substitution does not count toward limits
  • 2 yellows in 2 different matches → automatic 1-match ban
  • Direct red → automatic 1-match ban + possible further sanctions
  • Yellow card reset after group stage (all accumulated yellows cleared)
  • Second reset after quarter-finals (cannot be banned from SF/Final on accumulated yellows)
  • 2 × 15 minutes extra time if tied after 90 minutes
  • Penalty shootout if still tied after extra time
  • 5-minute break before extra time begins
  • Knockout stage only — group matches can end in a draw
  • Golden Boot: Top scorer (tiebreak: most assists → fewer minutes played)
  • Golden Ball: Best player (selected by FIFA Technical Study Group)
  • Golden Glove: Best goalkeeper
  • Young Player Award: Best player born on/after January 1, 2005

Confederation Breakdown (48 Teams)


Known Limitations

Keep these in mind when interpreting results.